Ahhhh The Golden Globes. The people who thought that Pia Zadora was the next hot thing in acting. The people who believed Julia Roberts performance in "Duplicity" was worthy of recognition. The folks who actually gave Robert Downey Jr.'s turn in "Sherlock Holmes" a statuette. Just how much faith can you put in the opinions of a bunch of drunken foreign journalists? Not much.
Only about a hundred journalists actually vote for these awards, making them the least reliable of all the Oscar precursor awards. They're given to vote for the biggest stars (so they'll attend the show) which is why Julia Roberts got nominated for her mediocre performance in a forgettable film. They hand out awards based on conventional wisdom so Mo'nique and Jeff Bridges get a pass (even though they both deserve it) or (and this bugs me) they go with the buzz of the moment which is why "Avatar" was a big winner.
The Oscar for Best picture is almost impossible to call because the Ten nominated films will be splitting votes all over the place. Anything could win, but "Avatar" has a real advantage. It will have the techno-vote, all those guys and gals in the editing, cinematography and sound memberships will probably go blue while films like "Up in the Air", or "The Hurt Locker" or "Precious" will have to share their voting blocks. It looks good for the Blue Folk but this year, who knows. Just because the crazy Foreign Press went Sci-Fi doesn't mean the Oscar Voters will. One thing you can count on, Robert Downey Jr. will NOT be getting an Oscar nod this year.
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